2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to the final four teams, then when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they shall be playing to handle the winner of the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between both of these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't love yesteryear, these are centered on the action at hand.
The German squad have not beaten Italy in a very competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, ignore over it, the past doesn't are likely involved in our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is the fact that Germany never won against Italy in a very major tournament, get more info but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as they are the favorite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will be a tough, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong way about this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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